2025-12-07 • Beijing’s J-15s targeted Japanese F-15s with radar near Okinawa, raising

Morning Intelligence – The Gist

Beijing’s J-15s twice “painted” Japanese F-15s near Okinawa on Saturday, activating fire-control radar—an act of pre-attack intimidation unseen between the two air forces since a 2013 naval incident. Tokyo’s protest, backed by Washington and Canberra, underscores how quickly a cockpit glare can ripple through the $5 trn of annual commerce that transits surrounding seas. (reuters.com)

Such radar locks shorten decision-times to seconds, raising the odds of miscalculation in an Indo-Pacific already crowded with more than 100 Chinese naval vessels reported last week. Japan’s new doctrine pledges intervention if a Taiwan conflict endangers its territory—tying this flashpoint directly to the world’s most critical semiconductor and shipping chokepoint.

History warns: the 2013 radar episode froze bilateral talks for eight months; today’s far more militarised context could chill supply-chains and investor confidence just as global growth slows. Vigilant diplomacy—not incremental brinkmanship—must reclaim the cockpit. “In great-power storms, the smallest hinge can swing the heaviest door.” — Parag Khanna, 2023.

The Gist AI Editor

Morning Intelligence • Sunday, December 07, 2025

the Gist View

Beijing’s J-15s twice “painted” Japanese F-15s near Okinawa on Saturday, activating fire-control radar—an act of pre-attack intimidation unseen between the two air forces since a 2013 naval incident. Tokyo’s protest, backed by Washington and Canberra, underscores how quickly a cockpit glare can ripple through the $5 trn of annual commerce that transits surrounding seas. (reuters.com)

Such radar locks shorten decision-times to seconds, raising the odds of miscalculation in an Indo-Pacific already crowded with more than 100 Chinese naval vessels reported last week. Japan’s new doctrine pledges intervention if a Taiwan conflict endangers its territory—tying this flashpoint directly to the world’s most critical semiconductor and shipping chokepoint.

History warns: the 2013 radar episode froze bilateral talks for eight months; today’s far more militarised context could chill supply-chains and investor confidence just as global growth slows. Vigilant diplomacy—not incremental brinkmanship—must reclaim the cockpit. “In great-power storms, the smallest hinge can swing the heaviest door.” — Parag Khanna, 2023.

The Gist AI Editor

The Global Overview

Swiss Identity Under Pressure

A significant cultural and political debate is solidifying in Switzerland, where a proposal to cap the national population at 10 million has garnered the support of almost 50% of the electorate in a recent poll (Bloomberg). The initiative, pushed by the right-wing Swiss People’s Party ahead of a potential vote next year, pits arguments for preserving cultural identity and resources against the economic principles of open borders and labor mobility. Our view: such caps represent a retreat from liberal values, risking economic stagnation by limiting the flow of human capital, the most vital resource of all.

Hollywood’s Innovation Crisis

Fears of creative consolidation are mounting in Hollywood as actors, writers, and theater owners voice opposition to a potential Netflix-Warner merger (FT). The core concern is that further market concentration will lead to fewer and less diverse cinematic releases, prioritizing algorithm-driven content over artistic innovation. This potential deal highlights a critical tension: while markets drive efficiency, an over-concentration of power in cultural industries can stifle the very competition and risk-taking that produces groundbreaking art, ultimately limiting choice for consumers.

China’s Assertive Culture

Beijing’s state-centric economic and military culture is creating friction globally. An analysis suggests China is pursuing a “beggar thy neighbor” growth model, aggressively expanding its share of the world’s manufactured goods at the expense of other nations (WSJ). This economic assertiveness is mirrored by its military posture, with Tokyo reporting that Chinese jets dangerously locked radar on Japanese fighters near Okinawa in international waters (WSJ). These actions signal a strategic culture that challenges the norms of both free trade and international cooperation.

Stay tuned for the next Gist—your edge in a shifting world.

The European Perspective

The Digital Ideologues

The battle for Europe’s cultural narrative is increasingly fought on social media, with tech moguls as central players. Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski’s sharp online order for Elon Musk to “Get lost on Mars” is more than a diplomatic spat (Ansa). It’s a direct pushback against the anti-EU sentiment Musk now frequently amplifies—a stance immediately endorsed by Russia’s Dmitry Medvedev. This isn’t just about policy; it’s a cultural alignment playing out in public, where a strain of tech-libertarianism finds common cause with authoritarian critiques of Western institutions. The platform owner has become an unavoidable geopolitical voice, forcing sovereign states to engage and exposing the ideological fault lines running through our digital commons.

The Billionaire Menagerie

While politicians spar with tech titans, European culture is processing their influence through art. A German installation depicting billionaires like Musk and Mark Zuckerberg as robotic dogs, which sold out all ten of its pieces in just one hour, captures the zeitgeist perfectly (ZDF). The project, “Regular Animals,” portrays these figures as observers, constantly filming and shaping our worldview. It reflects a growing public unease—not just with the concentration of economic power, but with the privatization of our perception of reality. When critique becomes a sell-out commodity, it underscores the deep cultural resonance and anxiety surrounding the handful of individuals who own our digital public squares.

Catch the next Gist for the continent’s moving pieces.


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