2025-08-24 • Germany transits Taiwan Strait, signaling EU hard-power shift.

Morning Intelligence – The Gist

Berlin just sent its message at 25 knots. Before dawn on 23 August, the frigate Baden-Württemberg and support ship Frankfurt am Main threaded the 180-km Taiwan Strait—the first German transit in 22 years—under the steady gaze of the PLA Navy. Beijing’s protest was predictable, but telling: it labeled the voyage a “provocation” rather than a violation, tacitly admitting that international law, not Chinese claims, governs these waters. (apnews.com, bbc.com, dw.com)

Germany’s timing is no accident. Forty percent of EU trade sails through Indo-Pacific sea-lanes, yet the bloc still relies on the U.S. 7th Fleet to keep them open. By pairing ships with Seoul exercises and Manila port calls, Berlin signals that Europe’s economic security now demands hard-power skin in the game—just as China’s grey-zone tactics intensify around Second Thomas Shoal and Okinawa.

We should resist the lazy framing of “NATO expands east.” What we’re witnessing is a supply-chain democracy league learning that deterrence, like commerce, cannot be outsourced forever. As foreign-minister-turned-philosopher Joschka Fischer once warned, “If you don’t do politics, politics will do you.” Today the frigate is the policy.

— The Gist AI Editor

Morning Intelligence • Sunday, August 24, 2025

In Focus

Berlin just sent its message at 25 knots. Before dawn on 23 August, the frigate Baden-Württemberg and support ship Frankfurt am Main threaded the 180-km Taiwan Strait—the first German transit in 22 years—under the steady gaze of the PLA Navy. Beijing’s protest was predictable, but telling: it labeled the voyage a “provocation” rather than a violation, tacitly admitting that international law, not Chinese claims, governs these waters. (apnews.com, bbc.com, dw.com)

Germany’s timing is no accident. Forty percent of EU trade sails through Indo-Pacific sea-lanes, yet the bloc still relies on the U.S. 7th Fleet to keep them open. By pairing ships with Seoul exercises and Manila port calls, Berlin signals that Europe’s economic security now demands hard-power skin in the game—just as China’s grey-zone tactics intensify around Second Thomas Shoal and Okinawa.

We should resist the lazy framing of “NATO expands east.” What we’re witnessing is a supply-chain democracy league learning that deterrence, like commerce, cannot be outsourced forever. As foreign-minister-turned-philosopher Joschka Fischer once warned, “If you don’t do politics, politics will do you.” Today the frigate is the policy.

— The Gist AI Editor

The Global Overview

China’s Clean Energy Shift

China has decisively pivoted from a technology imitator to a dominant force in clean energy innovation. The country’s internationally competitive clean energy patent filings skyrocketed from just 18 in 2000 to over 5,000 in 2022, cementing its lead in solar, wind, and electric vehicle technology (Strait Times). This strategic shift, driven by significant state investment and a surge in high-quality research, has allowed companies like BYD to surpass competitors such as Tesla in production volume. Our perspective is that this illustrates how focused industrial policy, while often distorting markets, can accelerate technological dominance in targeted sectors, challenging the Western model of organic, consumer-driven innovation. The long-term sustainability of this state-led model, however, remains a critical question.

Labour Market Interventions

Governments are increasingly intervening in labour markets, with divergent approaches. South Korea’s Parliament has expanded protections for subcontracted workers, empowering their unions to negotiate directly with client companies (Strait Times). This move, under President Lee Jae-myung, prioritises worker rights over business concerns about competitiveness. Conversely, the UK is proposing non-custodial sentences to manage its prison overcrowding crisis, suggesting alternatives like banning convicted criminals from pubs, concerts, and sports events (Strait Times). From a free-market standpoint, Seoul’s policy risks ossifying labour relations and deterring investment, while the UK’s pragmatic, if socially intrusive, approach seeks to lessen the state’s costly incarceration burden.

Gaming and Geopolitics

Cultural influence is increasingly wielded as a tool of statecraft and corporate power. Sony is working to expand its massive gaming empire, aiming for its “first-party studios” to drive revenue and take calculated risks, solidifying its cultural footprint (FT). Meanwhile, Rwanda is leveraging its recovery from genocide to become an aggressive regional power, using its newfound status to project influence across Africa (WSJ). This demonstrates a broader trend where cultural exports and national narratives are becoming as crucial as traditional economic or military strength in shaping global dynamics. The interplay between soft power and hard-nosed geopolitical interests is a space to watch closely.

Stay tuned for the next Gist—your edge in a shifting world.

The European Perspective

The British Museum’s New Lease

A subtle but significant policy pivot is underway at the British Museum. New director Nicholas Cullinan is moving beyond the zero-sum debate over restitution, floating a policy grounded in broad cooperation. His message: “We can’t give things away, but there is nothing preventing us from sharing the collection” (El Pais). This signals a shift from a defensive posture to one of proactive cultural diplomacy. For an institution legally barred from deaccessioning artifacts, this embrace of long-term, reciprocal loans offers a pragmatic path forward. It’s a market-oriented solution that enhances global access to culture without litigating ownership claims—a welcome turn towards evidence-based pragmatism over ideological deadlock.

Symbolic Warfare in Kursk

Kyiv is escalating the conflict’s cultural dimension, taking symbolic—and kinetic—action inside Russia. On Ukraine’s National Flag Day, its forces planted national flags in the ethnically Ukrainian villages of Gornal and Guyevo in the Kursk region (ANSA). The move is a direct challenge to the Kremlin’s narrative and a powerful assertion of Ukrainian identity on Russian-controlled territory. This psychological operation coincided with a drone attack on the Kursk nuclear power plant; while the drone was downed, it caused a fire and a 50% reduction in capacity at one unit before being extinguished, with no reported change in radiation levels (ANSA).

Britain’s Fading Far-Right

Anti-immigration protests flared across the UK this weekend, but the numbers tell a story of marginal influence rather than mass movement. Despite significant online promotion, the protests drew “only…a few hundred demonstrators” nationwide (El Pais). In several locations, anti-racism counter-protesters turned out in comparable or greater numbers. While any presence is notable, the low turnout suggests the far-right’s cultural narrative is failing to achieve mainstream traction. This stands in contrast to the significant police resources deployed, underscoring the high cost of protecting free assembly, even for fringe movements.

Catch the next Gist for the continent’s moving pieces.


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