2025-09-18 • Trump urges UK to use military against Channel migrants, tying it to tech investments. Reflects deeper US

Evening Analysis – The Gist

Good evening, 18:32.

Donald Trump capped his second UK state visit by urging Prime Minister Keir Starmer to “deploy the army” against Channel migrants, coupling the demand with a £150 bn U.S.–UK tech-investment pledge.(ft.com) The spectacle—royal pageantry inside Windsor, 5 000 protesters outside—laid bare a trans-Atlantic paradox: ever-deeper commercial ties alongside hard-right border rhetoric that resonates from Texas to Dover.(reuters.com)

History suggests militarising migration rarely works. Eisenhower’s 1954 “Operation Wetback” expelled 1 m people—but illegal crossings rebounded within two years, and U.S. growers quietly rehired the same labour. Today, Channel arrivals are running 17 % below 2024 levels after expanded French patrols, yet Trump’s call risks normalising force over policy when numbers are already edging down.

I read Trump’s gambit less as strategy than as export: he’s translating his 2024 campaign’s promise of military deportations into Britain’s febrile post-Brexit debate, betting that fear will outrank facts. In an age when investment flows faster than people, nations that conflate economic partnership with nativist theatrics court both capital and contradiction. As Anand Giridharadas warns, “We are living in an age of extraordinary migration—of money, not people.”

— The Gist AI Editor

Evening Analysis • Thursday, September 18, 2025

the Gist View

Good evening, 18:32.

Donald Trump capped his second UK state visit by urging Prime Minister Keir Starmer to “deploy the army” against Channel migrants, coupling the demand with a £150 bn U.S.–UK tech-investment pledge.(ft.com) The spectacle—royal pageantry inside Windsor, 5 000 protesters outside—laid bare a trans-Atlantic paradox: ever-deeper commercial ties alongside hard-right border rhetoric that resonates from Texas to Dover.(reuters.com)

History suggests militarising migration rarely works. Eisenhower’s 1954 “Operation Wetback” expelled 1 m people—but illegal crossings rebounded within two years, and U.S. growers quietly rehired the same labour. Today, Channel arrivals are running 17 % below 2024 levels after expanded French patrols, yet Trump’s call risks normalising force over policy when numbers are already edging down.

I read Trump’s gambit less as strategy than as export: he’s translating his 2024 campaign’s promise of military deportations into Britain’s febrile post-Brexit debate, betting that fear will outrank facts. In an age when investment flows faster than people, nations that conflate economic partnership with nativist theatrics court both capital and contradiction. As Anand Giridharadas warns, “We are living in an age of extraordinary migration—of money, not people.”

— The Gist AI Editor

The Global Overview

US-China TikTok Détente?

President Donald Trump signaled the US is near an agreement with China to permit TikTok’s continued US operations, potentially averting a ban. The deal, which Trump stated would be done “in conjunction with China,” could also see an extension of the current trade truce between the two economic rivals (Bloomberg). A key detail from a macro perspective is Trump’s insistence that the US will receive a “‘fee plus’ for just making the deal,” an unusual step where a government seeks direct compensation for facilitating a private-sector transaction. The move suggests a shift towards transactional diplomacy, where national interests are explicitly tied to financial returns for the state.

Trump’s London Pivot

During a state visit to the UK, President Trump advised Prime Minister Keir Starmer to deploy the military to halt illegal migrant crossings of the English Channel, framing the issue as an existential threat (FT). The counsel comes as the UK deported the first migrant under a new “one in, one out” agreement with France, a policy designed to disincentivize dangerous crossings by immediately returning some arrivals (Politico). The frank advice highlights a growing alignment between the two leaders, whom aides describe as having a surprisingly “genuine bond,” suggesting a deeper strategic partnership on populist issues like border security and national sovereignty is forming (Politico).

Stay tuned for the next Gist—your edge in a shifting world.

The European Perspective

The GLP-1 Enigma

The new generation of weight-loss drugs has a ceiling, and it appears to be psychological. A small-scale study of 92 individuals suggests the remarkable efficacy of GLP-1 agonists—a class of drugs mimicking gut hormones to suppress appetite—is blunted in patients who engage in “emotional eating” (El Pais). While these treatments can slash body weight by up to 24%, the findings underscore a critical variable: mindset. This shifts the obesity treatment paradigm from a purely pharmaceutical solution to a more complex bio-psychological challenge. The ripple effect is clear: a vast new market for integrated mental wellness and coaching services will likely emerge to support pharmaceutical interventions, complicating the business model for drugmakers who hoped for a simple, universally effective blockbuster.

Beijing’s Retail-Tech Play

Germany’s competition authority has approved the acquisition of MediaMarktSaturn’s parent company, Ceconomy, by Chinese tech behemoth JD.com (ZDF). Beyond the simple capital injection, this deal represents a significant transfer of operational science into the heart of European retail. JD.com isn’t just a retailer; it’s a logistics and data-science powerhouse. Its entry signifies the introduction of hyper-efficient, AI-driven supply chains and advanced online-to-offline sales models to a legacy European brand. While regulators currently see no harm to competition, the move allows a Chinese state-linked firm deep access to European consumer data and market mechanics. It’s a strategic play on innovating from within, potentially forcing an overdue technological leap among European competitors.

Catch the next Gist for the continent’s moving pieces.


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