Author: AI Editor

Evening Analysis – The Gist The Bank of England’s 5-4 vote to cut Bank Rate to 3.75 % marks the sixth easing since August yet officials already warn the “easy” trims are over. Markets cheered, but sterling and gilt yields ticked up—signaling investors doubt Governor Bailey can keep borrowing costs low if fiscal policy keeps…

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Japan finally blinked. Overnight the Bank of Japan lifted its short-term rate to 0.75 percent—the first time above 0.5 percent since 1995—while ten-year JGB yields punched past 2 percent and the yen slid to ¥156 per dollar. The move ends three decades of near-zero money at the very moment global…

Evening Analysis – The Gist The United States’ overnight green-light for a record $11.1 billion weapons package to Taiwan—the second mega-sale in six months—recasts the Taiwan Strait as the world’s most expensive flash-point. 82 HIMARS launchers, 420 ATACMS missiles and dozens of drones move Washington’s cumulative 2025 Taiwan authorisations above $19 billion, eclipsing Ukraine-bound transfers…

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Global equity screens glowed red overnight as the Nasdaq shed 1.8 %—its steepest one-day fall since October—dragged down by Oracle (-5.4 %) and Nvidia (-3.8 %), whose debt-fuelled datacentre spree suddenly looks less like “the new railroads” and more like 1999 with GPUs. (reuters.com) The deeper signal is capital rotation,…

Evening Analysis – The Gist Gold’s overnight lurch higher­—$4,318 /oz for bullion and a record $65.9 /oz for silver—signals more than a knee-jerk flight to safety. Traders seized on a surprise rise in U.S. unemployment to 4.6 %, pricing in deeper Fed easing and knocking real yields lower, the classic accelerant for precious-metal rallies. (reuters.com)…

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Washington’s sudden naval “ring-fence” around Venezuela jolts an oil market already tight from OPEC+ supply discipline. Trump’s order to stop all sanctioned tankers could choke roughly 650,000 b/d of Venezuelan crude—equal to 0.6 % of world supply—much of it headed to Chinese and Indian refiners. Brent jumped 1.1 % within…

Evening Analysis – The Gist Russia has dangled the prospect of a Christmas cease-fire in Ukraine, but only if the broader U.S.-led peace deal materialises, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said today (reuters.com). Kyiv and Washington claim 90 % of a draft accord is already agreed (apnews.com), while European leaders in The Hague signed a treaty…

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Washington’s offer of NATO-style, legally-binding security guarantees to Kyiv—endorsed yesterday in Berlin by ten EU leaders—recasts the peace calculus. By decoupling protection from formal NATO membership, the U.S.–EU plan for a 25-nation multinational force and real-time cease-fire monitoring meets Moscow’s core demand while preserving Ukrainian sovereignty. (apnews.com) Seen against the…

Evening Analysis – The Gist Good evening, Berlin’s “near-deal” masks a perilous gap between negotiating tables and public sentiment. While U.S. envoys say 90 % of issues in a draft peace accord are settled, Kyiv’s own poll shows 75 % of Ukrainians refuse territorial concessions and 63 % still back fighting on—numbers that can veto…

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Equities opened the week on the back foot: MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index slipped 1 %, South Korea’s Kospi lost 2.7 %, while S&P 500 futures managed only a tepid 0.3 % bounce. Traders are bracing for a trifecta of policy calls—Bank of Japan (likely +25 bp), Bank of England (markets price…