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2026-02-23 • El Mencho’s death led to chaos in Mexico, risking more violence as CJNG fragments. Without

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Mexico’s military blow that killed Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera—worth a US $15 million bounty—was followed within hours by arson road-blocks and shoot-outs that paralysed air travel and shut schools across at least seven (some reports say twenty) states. (thegua…

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2026-02-22 • A Supreme Court ruling disrupts Trump’s tariffs; his 15% flat levy might raise U.S.

Evening Analysis – The Gist A single Supreme Court ruling has detonated Donald Trump’s tariff architecture—and his riposte, a 15 percent flat-rate levy on all imports, could lift the average U.S. duty to 13.7 percent while throwing $133 billion in already-paid tariffs into legal limbo. (ft.com…

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2026-02-22 • Pakistan’s raids on militant camps mark a sharp escalation following deadly bombings, highlighting a security crisis amid

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Pakistan’s overnight “intelligence-based” raids on seven militant camps across the Afghan frontier mark the sharpest escalation since the October 2025 border firefight that killed dozens. Islamabad’s move—confirmed by Associated Press, The Guardian and Deutsche …

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2026-02-21 • Trump raised tariffs to 15%, defying the Supreme Court, risking trade disruptions and eroding U

Evening Analysis – The Gist Good evening, With one midnight post, President Trump jolted the rules-based trading system—again. Defying Friday’s Supreme Court rebuke, he invoked Section 122 to lift his hastily-announced 10 percent blanket duty to the statute’s ceiling of 15 percent. The hike fr…

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2026-02-21 • Washington’s 10-15-day ultimatum to Tehran impacts markets. Brent crude hit $71.

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Washington’s 10-15-day ultimatum to Tehran is not a negotiating tactic; it is a market-moving countdown. Brent crude nudged $71.9 per barrel, a six-month high, within hours of President Trump’s threat and the dispatch of a second carrier strike group to the Gulf…

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2026-02-20 • UN finds RSF’s attack on el-Fasher meets genocide criteria; 6,000 killed in

Evening Analysis – The Gist A UN fact-finding mission finds the Rapid Support Forces’ October storming of el-Fasher fulfils three Genocide Convention criteria; some 6,000 people were slaughtered in 72 hours, within a war that has already killed 40,000 and uprooted 12 million Sudanese. (apnews.…

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2026-02-20 • Oil prices surged on U.S.-Iran tensions, risking energy security. Markets reevaluate post-pandemic

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Oil has thrust itself back onto the front page. Brent surged above $71.50—its highest since late July—while WTI punched past $66 as traders priced a 4-7 % two-day jump on mere whispers of a U.S. strike on Iran. Roughly one-fifth of global crude transits the Stra…

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2026-02-19 • Brent hit $71.7, WTI $66.7; Trump’s Iran decision looms

Evening Analysis – The Gist Brent crude punched through $71.7 while WTI hit $66.7 a barrel after President Trump said he will decide “within 10 days” on striking Iran, a choice now priced by traders as a 70 per-cent probability.(theguardian.com) Roughly one-fifth of world oil moves through the…

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2026-02-19 • Geneva’s Russia-Ukraine talks showed minor progress; core issues remain unresolved, risking a prolonged conflict

Morning Intelligence – The Gist Geneva’s latest U-S-brokered Russia-Ukraine talks broke up late 18 February with both delegations conceding “progress” only on minor military items and none on core political issues; Zelenskyy again blasted Moscow for stalling while fighting rages along a 1,250 …

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2026-02-18 • Lagarde may leave ECB early, letting Macron and Merz shape her successor before France’s 202

Evening Analysis – The Gist Christine Lagarde’s reported plan to leave the ECB before her mandate ends in October 2027 would hand President Macron—and a Berlin led by Friedrich Merz—the privilege of shaping Europe’s next monetary chief before France’s volatile 2027 election. The Financial Time…

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